Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analyses of a Decision Analytic Model for Post-Eradication Polio Risk Management
by Radboud J. Duintjer Tebbens, Mark A. Pallansch, Olen M.Kew, Roland W. Sutter, R. Bruce Aylward, Margaret Watkins, Howard E. Gary, James P. Alexander, Hamid Jafari, Stephen L. Cochi, and Kimberly M. Thompson, Risk Analysis 2008;28(4):855-876. PDF
Technical appendix

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Background on polio

What are the study’s main findings?

What are the study’s main recommendations? How does the model characterize uncertainty? How does the analysis determine importance ranking of uncertain model inputs?